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There is no good in much of their secret conferences save (in) whosoever enjoineth charity and fairness and peace-making among the people and whoso doeth that, seeking the good pleasure of God, We shall bestow on him a vast reward.
(Al-Nisa, 4:114).

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Sunday, October 23, 2022

Israel is preparing for war with Iran?

▪️ Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz said that Iran is weeks away from obtaining the material needed to build a nuclear weapon. He noted that the development of Iranian ballistic missiles and unmanned aerial vehicles and other military technology have reached the point where an urgent response is needed.

▪️ In this regard, the Israel Defense Forces exercise will begin on May 29 and will last one month. All units of the armed forces, including reserve formations, will be involved. 

▪️ The purpose of the exercise is to simulate war with Iran and proxy formations in Syria and Lebanon, as well as countering terrorist groups in Israeli territory. The scenario of air strikes against Iranian nuclear and military facilities will also be practiced. 

▪️ Characteristically, in planning a direct confrontation, the Israeli leadership took into account the strict need for direct U.S. involvement and the availability of their advanced weapon systems on Israeli territory. 

▪️ However, Washington is certainly not ready to support the Israelis yet: the Biden administration is in another "advanced" stage of negotiations on the nuclear deal with Iran. At the moment, getting involved in another conflict against the backdrop of confrontation with Russia and China is fraught with consequences in the form of a new round of economic crisis. 

▪️ In order to change the mind of the American government, Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz went to Washington. He intends to hold talks on the "Iranian threat" with his American counterpart Floyd Austin and Jake Sullivan, the US president's national security advisor.

🔻 It is unlikely that the White House is now planning to go to war with Iran. Both for the U.S. and for the rest of the world, such a scenario would mean another jump in oil prices, which would have an even greater impact on inflation. 

But the Israeli leadership will try to make the most of the current situation. They will focus on the precariousness of Iran's real positions in order to force the U.S. to abandon the nuclear deal.

The Israelis will try to bluff Iran's tough negotiating position in order to cover the acute socio-economic problems that are already manifesting themselves in the form of nationwide protests in the Islamic republic.

Courtesy : Venessa Beeley